{"id":20040,"date":"2025-02-04T10:06:10","date_gmt":"2025-02-04T10:06:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/surreyborder.org.uk\/?p=20040"},"modified":"2025-02-04T16:25:42","modified_gmt":"2025-02-04T16:25:42","slug":"welcome-to-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/surreyborder.org.uk\/index.php\/2025\/02\/04\/welcome-to-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Welcome to 2025 – Ai News"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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The last year in Ai has been a real roller coaster ride, with twists and turns, resulting in massive changes in Ai development with its progress accelerating at an exponential rate.<\/p>

Possibly the most important image today is the one that shows the evolution of Human intelligence compared with that of Artificial intelligence.<\/p>

\"\"<\/p>

This chart shows the rise of Human intelligence over centuries compared with the rise of Artificial intelligence from some time midway in the last century.<\/p>

At a point in time the chart shows \u2018The Singularity\u2019, the crossover when Ai exceeds that of Human intelligence. It means that at that point, Ai has learned everything that it can from Humans and has matched our best intelligence (AGi – Artificial General Intelligence)). The next move is to go beyond the Singularity to a time when computers have progressed so much that they are able to self-learn, innovate, and create technology that’s entirely new, and foreign, to humans (ASi – Artificial Super Intelligence).<\/p>

ASi is when systems start to massively exceed human abilities to even fully understand their working.\u00a0Many commentators believe that the singularity point is well in the future, perhaps 2045 or even maybe not until the next century.<\/p>

They might be wrong.<\/p>

Just a short while ago (4th<\/sup> Jan 2025) Sam Altman, the CEO and one of the original founders of OpenAi, started the year with a tweet that simply read:<\/p>

i always wanted to write a six-word story. here it is: <\/strong><\/span>
‘near the singularity; unclear which side.’<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

To give some context, in December 2024 OpenAi\u2019s model o3 produced some staggering results in a series of benchmark tests designed to test Artificial General intelligence (AGi). And it came out just when some were predicting an Ai winter \u2013 where Ai progress hits a wall and stops.<\/p>

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Wall? Oh, THAT wall! (Credit Wes Roth)<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Clearly that hasn\u2019t happened, and since then several senior people who are directly involved in developing Artificial intelligence are discussing the possibility of ASi being quite close.<\/p>

So, the big question for 2025 is not, \u2018What are the latest gismos for movie making on my PC\u2019, but rather \u2018Where are we on the curve?\u2019<\/b><\/span><\/p>

\"\"We shouldn’t expect a big sign to appear when we cross the Singularity, but as Sam so eloquently writes \u2013 it\u2019s hard to know which side of it we are currently on. We do seem to be in the vicinity.<\/p>

We are all living through a pivotal time in human history. Savour the moment, and watch out for some big developments in 2025!<\/p>

\"\"No sooner than the proverbial ink had dried on those electronic words, that we received an onslaught of Ai system releases in 2025!<\/p>

Chinese company Deepseek<\/a> launched a range of market disruptors:
January 10th Deepseek V3 released<\/span>
January 20th Deepseek R1 family released<\/span>
January 28th Deepseek Janus Pro (multi modal model)<\/span><\/p>

All of these are powerful, fully open source, Ai systems competing with the best of the rest. They were launched with the claim that their training was a fraction of the cost of the main competition. This alarmed investors into thinking that maybe Nvidia and other tech companies didn\u2019t need their massive investments, causing stock prices to drop on 27th January.<\/p>

\"\"During this time other Chinese companies such as Baidu, Btye Dance, Tencent, and Alibaba (Qwen<\/a>) all released their models showing to a surprised Western World that China is a very close rival to the US in Ai.<\/p>

US companies weren\u2019t slow to respond.\u00a0On 30th January, the Allen Institute for Ai<\/a> (Ai2) released its Tulu3 405B<\/a> reasoning model. Based in Seatle this little known non-profit institute\u2019s model is also fully open source and matched Deepseek as a comparable reasoning model.
On 31st January, OpenAi’s more powerful and recently announced high end reasoning model o3-min<\/a>i was made public.<\/p>

\"\"<\/a>Then on the 2nd February, Open Ai released Deep Research<\/a>, an Ai agent capable of multi-step research on the internet for complex tasks. Just to cause a bit of confusion, the name is similar to that of Deepseek and is the same as the Google’s Gemini Deep Research<\/a>\u00a0offering from last year. OpenAi\u2019s model is powered by their most powerful model \u2013 o3 (not to be confused with their o3-mini released a few days ago) and places it firmly at the top of the performance charts (for today!).<\/p>

As per the OpenAi Deep Research release notes:\"\"<\/p>

Many believe that humans last great invention will be AGi, because after that it will be the computers that will do all the inventing. That\u2019s why Ai safety is so critically important, and why we are entering uncharted territory.<\/p>

\u2019Wow’! What a start to 2025 in Ai!<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Now take a breath while you consider a few things:<\/p>